The overwhelming 95.5% market-implied probability for a 26°C high in Tokyo on June 14 stems from Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing mostly clear to cloudy conditions with a maximum near seasonal norms and minimal precipitation risk. June climatology places typical daytime peaks at 25–27°C before the peak of the rainy season and summer heat buildup, supported by current observational trends and model consensus from regional monitoring. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data on atmospheric stability and steering patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from rapid warming under unexpected clear skies or revised observational readings pushing the actual maximum to 27–28°C before official confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 96.5%
27°C 3.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$66,554 Vol.
$66,554 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
97%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96.5%
27°C 3.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$66,554 Vol.
$66,554 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
97%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming 95.5% market-implied probability for a 26°C high in Tokyo on June 14 stems from Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing mostly clear to cloudy conditions with a maximum near seasonal norms and minimal precipitation risk. June climatology places typical daytime peaks at 25–27°C before the peak of the rainy season and summer heat buildup, supported by current observational trends and model consensus from regional monitoring. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data on atmospheric stability and steering patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from rapid warming under unexpected clear skies or revised observational readings pushing the actual maximum to 27–28°C before official confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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