Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and AEMET guidance for Madrid on June 16 centers on 33°C as the most likely daily maximum under a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies, strong June insolation, and light northerly flow limiting cooling. This aligns with the 40.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and 26.5% for 34°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around the upper end of the June climatological normal (average high near 29–33°C). Lingering effects from the late-May Iberian heatwave and AEMET’s seasonal outlook favoring above-average temperatures for June–August have kept probabilities elevated for 33–35°C, though any short-term model shift toward increased cloud cover or stronger winds could favor the 32°C outcome. Official resolution relies on AEMET’s Retiro station reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 41%
34°C 27%
32°C 14%
31°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 16, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
14%
33°C
41%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
34°C 27%
32°C 14%
31°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 16, 2026
30°C or below
$86 Vol.
3%
31°C
$85 Vol.
8%
32°C
$68 Vol.
14%
33°C
$199 Vol.
41%
34°C
$176 Vol.
27%
35°C
$59 Vol.
6%
36°C
$45 Vol.
1%
37°C
$65 Vol.
1%
38°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and AEMET guidance for Madrid on June 16 centers on 33°C as the most likely daily maximum under a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies, strong June insolation, and light northerly flow limiting cooling. This aligns with the 40.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and 26.5% for 34°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around the upper end of the June climatological normal (average high near 29–33°C). Lingering effects from the late-May Iberian heatwave and AEMET’s seasonal outlook favoring above-average temperatures for June–August have kept probabilities elevated for 33–35°C, though any short-term model shift toward increased cloud cover or stronger winds could favor the 32°C outcome. Official resolution relies on AEMET’s Retiro station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$783শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and AEMET guidance for Madrid on June 16 centers on 33°C as the most likely daily maximum under a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies, strong June insolation, and light northerly flow limiting cooling. This aligns with the 40.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and 26.5% for 34°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around the upper end of the June climatological normal (average high near 29–33°C). Lingering effects from the late-May Iberian heatwave and AEMET’s seasonal outlook favoring above-average temperatures for June–August have kept probabilities elevated for 33–35°C, though any short-term model shift toward increased cloud cover or stronger winds could favor the 32°C outcome. Official resolution relies on AEMET’s Retiro station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$783শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and AEMET guidance for Madrid on June 16 centers on 33°C as the most likely daily maximum under a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies, strong June insolation, and light northerly flow limiting cooling. This aligns with the 40.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and 26.5% for 34°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around the upper end of the June climatological normal (average high near 29–33°C). Lingering effects from the late-May Iberian heatwave and AEMET’s seasonal outlook favoring above-average temperatures for June–August have kept probabilities elevated for 33–35°C, though any short-term model shift toward increased cloud cover or stronger winds could favor the 32°C outcome. Official resolution relies on AEMET’s Retiro station reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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