Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C for Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 16 because these values align closely with mid-June climatological normals of 25–27°C, driven by typical early-summer insolation, moderating marine influence from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, and prevailing westerly flow. Recent model guidance shows no strong anomalous ridge or heat advection that would push readings substantially above or below this narrow band, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and low-level moisture, which short-range ensembles can still shift by 1–2°C within the final 48-hour forecast window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 32%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$401 Vol.
2%
24°C
$127 Vol.
7%
25°C
$62 Vol.
25%
26°C
$112 Vol.
32%
27°C
$154 Vol.
20%
28°C
$16 Vol.
5%
29°C
$89 Vol.
5%
30°C
$130 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C for Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 16 because these values align closely with mid-June climatological normals of 25–27°C, driven by typical early-summer insolation, moderating marine influence from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, and prevailing westerly flow. Recent model guidance shows no strong anomalous ridge or heat advection that would push readings substantially above or below this narrow band, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and low-level moisture, which short-range ensembles can still shift by 1–2°C within the final 48-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,147শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C for Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 16 because these values align closely with mid-June climatological normals of 25–27°C, driven by typical early-summer insolation, moderating marine influence from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, and prevailing westerly flow. Recent model guidance shows no strong anomalous ridge or heat advection that would push readings substantially above or below this narrow band, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and low-level moisture, which short-range ensembles can still shift by 1–2°C within the final 48-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,147শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C for Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 16 because these values align closely with mid-June climatological normals of 25–27°C, driven by typical early-summer insolation, moderating marine influence from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, and prevailing westerly flow. Recent model guidance shows no strong anomalous ridge or heat advection that would push readings substantially above or below this narrow band, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and low-level moisture, which short-range ensembles can still shift by 1–2°C within the final 48-hour forecast window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা