**Current forecasts from global and regional models position Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C.** Numerical weather prediction guidance, including runs from the ECMWF and GFS, shows a moderate southwesterly flow under a building ridge with limited moisture and mostly clear skies, supporting daytime heating without extreme warmth. Recent observations indicate Istanbul has run slightly below seasonal norms in early-to-mid June, consistent with the implied probabilities favoring 28–30°C over higher or lower thresholds. Official resolution will rely on the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) station data, with any last-minute model shifts or local sea-breeze effects capable of nudging the reading within the tightly bunched 28–30°C range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 26%
30°C 24%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
26%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 26%
30°C 24%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
26%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from global and regional models position Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C.** Numerical weather prediction guidance, including runs from the ECMWF and GFS, shows a moderate southwesterly flow under a building ridge with limited moisture and mostly clear skies, supporting daytime heating without extreme warmth. Recent observations indicate Istanbul has run slightly below seasonal norms in early-to-mid June, consistent with the implied probabilities favoring 28–30°C over higher or lower thresholds. Official resolution will rely on the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) station data, with any last-minute model shifts or local sea-breeze effects capable of nudging the reading within the tightly bunched 28–30°C range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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