Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 26 maximum temperature clusters around 30–31°C due to short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory showing likely highs of 29–32°C amid frequent showers and high humidity. These conditions, typical of peak typhoon season, limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures influenced by long-term warming trends. Model consensus on steering patterns and rainfall probability differentiates the narrow 30–32°C band, with traders weighting recent analog days and uncertainty in intensification of any nearby tropical systems. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 26 maximum temperature clusters around 30–31°C due to short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory showing likely highs of 29–32°C amid frequent showers and high humidity. These conditions, typical of peak typhoon season, limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures influenced by long-term warming trends. Model consensus on steering patterns and rainfall probability differentiates the narrow 30–32°C band, with traders weighting recent analog days and uncertainty in intensification of any nearby tropical systems. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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