**Northeast monsoon influence and mostly fine, dry daytime conditions under HKO guidance form the core driver behind the tight 31°C (40.5%) versus 32°C (37.5%) market split for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum.** Persistent northeasterly flow (force 4–5) is suppressing moisture and cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting efficient solar insolation and surface warming toward the upper end of the 25–31°C forecast range. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and localized wind gusts create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, consistent with climatological September highs near 30–31°C. Low precipitation probability keeps extreme outliers improbable, while traders weigh the latest observational trends and model consensus updates ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
31°C 41%
32°C 38%
30°C 13%
33°C 8%
$10,222 Vol.
$10,222 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
38%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 38%
30°C 13%
33°C 8%
$10,222 Vol.
$10,222 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
38%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon influence and mostly fine, dry daytime conditions under HKO guidance form the core driver behind the tight 31°C (40.5%) versus 32°C (37.5%) market split for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum.** Persistent northeasterly flow (force 4–5) is suppressing moisture and cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting efficient solar insolation and surface warming toward the upper end of the 25–31°C forecast range. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and localized wind gusts create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, consistent with climatological September highs near 30–31°C. Low precipitation probability keeps extreme outliers improbable, while traders weigh the latest observational trends and model consensus updates ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা