Recent forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid will reach a high near 36–37°C on August 17 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Persistent anticyclonic conditions and a dry continental climate in central Spain have sustained elevated temperatures through mid-August, with recent daily peaks of 34–37°C and limited moisture limiting evaporative cooling. Model consensus favors this range over higher extremes, though small revisions in steering patterns or insolation could shift the exact maximum; traders appear to weigh these stable summer baselines heavily against historical August averages near 32–34°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
37°C 52%
38°C 26%
36°C 18%
35°C 4%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
18%
37°C
52%
38°C
26%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 52%
38°C 26%
36°C 18%
35°C 4%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
18%
37°C
52%
38°C
26%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid will reach a high near 36–37°C on August 17 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Persistent anticyclonic conditions and a dry continental climate in central Spain have sustained elevated temperatures through mid-August, with recent daily peaks of 34–37°C and limited moisture limiting evaporative cooling. Model consensus favors this range over higher extremes, though small revisions in steering patterns or insolation could shift the exact maximum; traders appear to weigh these stable summer baselines heavily against historical August averages near 32–34°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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