Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 25 high temperature centers on the narrow 22–23°C range because short-range forecast models show only modest spread around the seasonal mean of roughly 24°C. Mexico City's 2,240 m elevation and frequent afternoon convection during the peak of the rainy season limit solar heating and produce variable cloud cover that can suppress or allow brief warming. Recent observations indicate scattered showers and moderate humidity, keeping daily maxima near the lower end of the August climatology. Small differences in timing of cloud build-up, wind speed, or urban heat retention can easily shift the peak by 1°C, which is why the two leading outcomes together capture nearly 70% of market-implied probability while 24°C retains meaningful but lower support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 39%
22°C 34%
21°C 15%
24°C 13%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
34%
23°C
39%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 39%
22°C 34%
21°C 15%
24°C 13%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
34%
23°C
39%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 25 high temperature centers on the narrow 22–23°C range because short-range forecast models show only modest spread around the seasonal mean of roughly 24°C. Mexico City's 2,240 m elevation and frequent afternoon convection during the peak of the rainy season limit solar heating and produce variable cloud cover that can suppress or allow brief warming. Recent observations indicate scattered showers and moderate humidity, keeping daily maxima near the lower end of the August climatology. Small differences in timing of cloud build-up, wind speed, or urban heat retention can easily shift the peak by 1°C, which is why the two leading outcomes together capture nearly 70% of market-implied probability while 24°C retains meaningful but lower support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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