Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Munich on July 12?
28°C 41%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
41%
29°C
30%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
41%
29°C
30%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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