National Weather Service forecasts for August 16 point to a high near 81°F under sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins at 45.5% and 36.5% implied probability. These readings sit near Central Park’s 83°F August climatological average, with limited heat advection or Bermuda High influence to support stronger warming. Key differentiating factors include model variations in peak solar heating, potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and any late-day convection that could cap afternoon maxima. Traders weigh these against historical mid-August patterns and the day’s official observation for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 16?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 10%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 10%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for August 16 point to a high near 81°F under sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins at 45.5% and 36.5% implied probability. These readings sit near Central Park’s 83°F August climatological average, with limited heat advection or Bermuda High influence to support stronger warming. Key differentiating factors include model variations in peak solar heating, potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and any late-day convection that could cap afternoon maxima. Traders weigh these against historical mid-August patterns and the day’s official observation for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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