Recent National Weather Service model runs show New York City under southerly flow with abundant May sunshine, supporting a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s. Limited afternoon mixing and modest boundary-layer depth keep the temperature range narrow, which explains why trader consensus clusters tightly among the 84–85 °F, 86–87 °F, and 88 °F-plus bins. Any increase in low-level moisture or an earlier sea-breeze front could cap readings near 84 °F, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push the peak toward 88 °F or higher. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations expected later today will narrow the remaining uncertainty before the market resolves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on May 18?
84-85°F 31%
88°F or higher 25.4%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 18%
$47,545 Vol.
$47,545 Vol.
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
24%
88°F or higher
25%
84-85°F 31%
88°F or higher 25.4%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 18%
$47,545 Vol.
$47,545 Vol.
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
24%
88°F or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service model runs show New York City under southerly flow with abundant May sunshine, supporting a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s. Limited afternoon mixing and modest boundary-layer depth keep the temperature range narrow, which explains why trader consensus clusters tightly among the 84–85 °F, 86–87 °F, and 88 °F-plus bins. Any increase in low-level moisture or an earlier sea-breeze front could cap readings near 84 °F, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push the peak toward 88 °F or higher. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations expected later today will narrow the remaining uncertainty before the market resolves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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