Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for May 17, driven by persistent southerly airflow advecting warm, humid maritime air that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High relative humidity and partial cloud cover further suppress temperature drops below the seasonal norm of 23–25°C for mid-May in this subtropical region. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 23–25°C range, reflecting consensus model outputs and climatological baselines where clear-sky conditions would be needed for a deeper plunge. The official daily minimum recorded at the primary station will determine resolution, with any late-day wind shifts or unexpected clearing potentially altering the final reading by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
24°C 39%
25°C 27%
23°C 26%
26°C 3.4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
39%
25°C
27%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
25°C 27%
23°C 26%
26°C 3.4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
39%
25°C
27%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for May 17, driven by persistent southerly airflow advecting warm, humid maritime air that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High relative humidity and partial cloud cover further suppress temperature drops below the seasonal norm of 23–25°C for mid-May in this subtropical region. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 23–25°C range, reflecting consensus model outputs and climatological baselines where clear-sky conditions would be needed for a deeper plunge. The official daily minimum recorded at the primary station will determine resolution, with any late-day wind shifts or unexpected clearing potentially altering the final reading by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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