Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 16 high temperature, with 26°C leading at 30.5% amid clustered odds for 24–27°C outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27–28°C peak under persistent overcast skies and light southerly winds, capping solar heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles introduce spreads down to 24–25°C due to variable cloud cover and recent cooler, drier air masses dominating early May trends. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, but urban heat island effects in Shanghai could nudge readings higher; key differentiators include afternoon convective development and exact cloud opacity. New 12z model runs expected today and CMA updates tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution at Xujiahui observatory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
24°C 16%
27°C 15%
নতুন
$15,308 Vol.
নতুন
$15,308 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
31%
27°C
15%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
24°C 16%
27°C 15%
নতুন
$15,308 Vol.
নতুন
$15,308 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
$6,929 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,821 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,052 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,514 Vol.
16%
25°C
$892 Vol.
27%
26°C
$335 Vol.
31%
27°C
$375 Vol.
15%
28°C
$383 Vol.
6%
29°C
$714 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,102 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 16 high temperature, with 26°C leading at 30.5% amid clustered odds for 24–27°C outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27–28°C peak under persistent overcast skies and light southerly winds, capping solar heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles introduce spreads down to 24–25°C due to variable cloud cover and recent cooler, drier air masses dominating early May trends. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, but urban heat island effects in Shanghai could nudge readings higher; key differentiators include afternoon convective development and exact cloud opacity. New 12z model runs expected today and CMA updates tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution at Xujiahui observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,308শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 16 high temperature, with 26°C leading at 30.5% amid clustered odds for 24–27°C outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27–28°C peak under persistent overcast skies and light southerly winds, capping solar heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles introduce spreads down to 24–25°C due to variable cloud cover and recent cooler, drier air masses dominating early May trends. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, but urban heat island effects in Shanghai could nudge readings higher; key differentiators include afternoon convective development and exact cloud opacity. New 12z model runs expected today and CMA updates tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution at Xujiahui observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$15,308শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai's May 16 high temperature, with 26°C leading at 30.5% amid clustered odds for 24–27°C outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 27–28°C peak under persistent overcast skies and light southerly winds, capping solar heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles introduce spreads down to 24–25°C due to variable cloud cover and recent cooler, drier air masses dominating early May trends. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, but urban heat island effects in Shanghai could nudge readings higher; key differentiators include afternoon convective development and exact cloud opacity. New 12z model runs expected today and CMA updates tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution at Xujiahui observatory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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