Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 14°C (37.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing maxima clustered in this range amid persistent overcast skies and showers from a low-pressure trough over Central Europe. This cooldown from today's near 20°C highs stems from reduced solar insolation under thick cloud cover (60-90% precip probability per sources like AccuWeather and YR.no) and light southerly winds limiting mixing. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF hints at brief clearing potentially nudging peaks to 15°C, while persistent rain in GFS runs caps at 14°C—against mid-May climatological averages of 18-19°C. IMGW updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
14°C 36%
15°C 33%
13°C 11%
16°C 11%
নতুন
$10,008 Vol.
নতুন
$10,008 Vol.
May 16, 2026
12°C or below
7%
13°C
11%
14°C
36%
15°C
33%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 36%
15°C 33%
13°C 11%
16°C 11%
নতুন
$10,008 Vol.
নতুন
$10,008 Vol.
May 16, 2026
12°C or below
$1,556 Vol.
7%
13°C
$1,189 Vol.
11%
14°C
$1,097 Vol.
36%
15°C
$1,215 Vol.
33%
16°C
$1,214 Vol.
11%
17°C
$512 Vol.
2%
18°C
$467 Vol.
1%
19°C
$522 Vol.
1%
20°C
$628 Vol.
1%
21°C
$778 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 14°C (37.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing maxima clustered in this range amid persistent overcast skies and showers from a low-pressure trough over Central Europe. This cooldown from today's near 20°C highs stems from reduced solar insolation under thick cloud cover (60-90% precip probability per sources like AccuWeather and YR.no) and light southerly winds limiting mixing. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF hints at brief clearing potentially nudging peaks to 15°C, while persistent rain in GFS runs caps at 14°C—against mid-May climatological averages of 18-19°C. IMGW updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$10,008শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 14°C (37.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing maxima clustered in this range amid persistent overcast skies and showers from a low-pressure trough over Central Europe. This cooldown from today's near 20°C highs stems from reduced solar insolation under thick cloud cover (60-90% precip probability per sources like AccuWeather and YR.no) and light southerly winds limiting mixing. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF hints at brief clearing potentially nudging peaks to 15°C, while persistent rain in GFS runs caps at 14°C—against mid-May climatological averages of 18-19°C. IMGW updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$10,008শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 14°C (37.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing maxima clustered in this range amid persistent overcast skies and showers from a low-pressure trough over Central Europe. This cooldown from today's near 20°C highs stems from reduced solar insolation under thick cloud cover (60-90% precip probability per sources like AccuWeather and YR.no) and light southerly winds limiting mixing. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF hints at brief clearing potentially nudging peaks to 15°C, while persistent rain in GFS runs caps at 14°C—against mid-May climatological averages of 18-19°C. IMGW updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা