Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with IMGW guidance, point to a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Warsaw on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge with minimal warm-air advection. Limited solar heating from partial cloud cover and light northeasterly flow are expected to cap afternoon peaks, keeping readings near climatological norms for mid-May. The tight spread between 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while lower probabilities for 14°C or higher stem from the absence of stronger southerly winds or clear-sky conditions that would allow greater insolation. Official resolution will rely on the Warsaw Chopin Airport observation at 2 p.m. local time.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
12°C 31.1%
13°C 29%
14°C 18%
11°C 14%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
14%
12°C
31%
13°C
29%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
6%
12°C 31.1%
13°C 29%
14°C 18%
11°C 14%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
14%
12°C
31%
13°C
29%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWARecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with IMGW guidance, point to a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Warsaw on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge with minimal warm-air advection. Limited solar heating from partial cloud cover and light northeasterly flow are expected to cap afternoon peaks, keeping readings near climatological norms for mid-May. The tight spread between 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while lower probabilities for 14°C or higher stem from the absence of stronger southerly winds or clear-sky conditions that would allow greater insolation. Official resolution will rely on the Warsaw Chopin Airport observation at 2 p.m. local time.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা