NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate predominantly low solar activity for May 17–23, with only modest chances of R1–R2 radio blackouts and negligible risk of stronger flares or geomagnetic storms. This positioning reflects the declining phase of Solar Cycle 25, where recent M-class events such as the M5.7 flare on May 10 produced limited Earth-directed impacts and no sustained high-activity regions. Traders assign 66.5% implied probability to zero major events because current sunspot regions lack the complexity for significant coronal mass ejections, consistent with quiet solar-wind conditions and Kp indices expected to remain below G1 levels. Any shift would require emergence of new active regions or unexpected filament eruptions capable of delivering measurable geomagnetic effects within the seven-day window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
0 61%
2 38%
1 35%
3 32%
নতুন
নতুন
May 23, 2026
0
61%
1
35%
2
38%
3
32%
4
22%
5
2%
6+
2%
0 61%
2 38%
1 35%
3 32%
নতুন
নতুন
May 23, 2026
0
$14 Vol.
61%
1
$0 Vol.
35%
2
$0 Vol.
38%
3
$0 Vol.
32%
4
$50 Vol.
22%
5
$91 Vol.
2%
6+
$133 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate predominantly low solar activity for May 17–23, with only modest chances of R1–R2 radio blackouts and negligible risk of stronger flares or geomagnetic storms. This positioning reflects the declining phase of Solar Cycle 25, where recent M-class events such as the M5.7 flare on May 10 produced limited Earth-directed impacts and no sustained high-activity regions. Traders assign 66.5% implied probability to zero major events because current sunspot regions lack the complexity for significant coronal mass ejections, consistent with quiet solar-wind conditions and Kp indices expected to remain below G1 levels. Any shift would require emergence of new active regions or unexpected filament eruptions capable of delivering measurable geomagnetic effects within the seven-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
ভলিউম
$288শেষ তারিখ
May 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate predominantly low solar activity for May 17–23, with only modest chances of R1–R2 radio blackouts and negligible risk of stronger flares or geomagnetic storms. This positioning reflects the declining phase of Solar Cycle 25, where recent M-class events such as the M5.7 flare on May 10 produced limited Earth-directed impacts and no sustained high-activity regions. Traders assign 66.5% implied probability to zero major events because current sunspot regions lack the complexity for significant coronal mass ejections, consistent with quiet solar-wind conditions and Kp indices expected to remain below G1 levels. Any shift would require emergence of new active regions or unexpected filament eruptions capable of delivering measurable geomagnetic effects within the seven-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ভলিউম
$288শেষ তারিখ
May 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate predominantly low solar activity for May 17–23, with only modest chances of R1–R2 radio blackouts and negligible risk of stronger flares or geomagnetic storms. This positioning reflects the declining phase of Solar Cycle 25, where recent M-class events such as the M5.7 flare on May 10 produced limited Earth-directed impacts and no sustained high-activity regions. Traders assign 66.5% implied probability to zero major events because current sunspot regions lack the complexity for significant coronal mass ejections, consistent with quiet solar-wind conditions and Kp indices expected to remain below G1 levels. Any shift would require emergence of new active regions or unexpected filament eruptions capable of delivering measurable geomagnetic effects within the seven-day window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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