Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$1,972,915 Vol.
$1,972,915 Vol.
<১.০টি
5%
১.০টি-১.৫টি
9%
১.৫টি-২.০টি
27%
২.০ ট্রিলিয়ন-২.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন
28%
২.৫টি-৩.০টি
22%
৩.০টি-৩.৫টি
9%
৩.৫টি+
2%
২০২৮ সালের আগে কোনো আইপিও নয়
2%
$1,972,915 Vol.
$1,972,915 Vol.
<১.০টি
$73,327 Vol.
5%
১.০টি-১.৫টি
$64,077 Vol.
9%
১.৫টি-২.০টি
$74,313 Vol.
27%
২.০ ট্রিলিয়ন-২.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন
$99,133 Vol.
28%
২.৫টি-৩.০টি
$820,026 Vol.
22%
৩.০টি-৩.৫টি
$488,877 Vol.
9%
৩.৫টি+
$72,081 Vol.
2%
২০২৮ সালের আগে কোনো আইপিও নয়
$281,081 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,972,915মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$1,972,915মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা