Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a leading 67.5% implied probability for the best math AI model by May's end, driven by Claude Mythos Preview's dominance on key benchmarks like AIME, MATH-500, and composite math leaderboards as of early May 2026, where it scores 61.7% overall via advanced chain-of-thought reasoning that boosts hard-problem accuracy by 10-30%. Released in preview on April 7, this frontier large language model outpaces rivals without general availability, fueling bets on further refinement before resolution. OpenAI's GPT-5 series, including GPT-5.2 Pro topping some evals at 99%, holds 19% amid strong competition math showings but trails in reasoning-heavy tests. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro garners 11.5% for its scientific integrations, yet lacks pure math edge. With no major updates in the last 48 hours, late-May announcements could shift dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 68%
OpenAI 19%
Google 11%
ByteDance <1%
$104,668 Vol.
$104,668 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
68%
OpenAI
19%
11%
ByteDance
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
xAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 68%
OpenAI 19%
Google 11%
ByteDance <1%
$104,668 Vol.
$104,668 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$14,513 Vol.
68%
OpenAI
$17,397 Vol.
19%
$9,723 Vol.
11%
ByteDance
$6,348 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$6,019 Vol.
1%
Meta
$5,975 Vol.
1%
xAI
$7,897 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$6,413 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$7,497 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$6,163 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$6,653 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,116 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,546 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,512 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a leading 67.5% implied probability for the best math AI model by May's end, driven by Claude Mythos Preview's dominance on key benchmarks like AIME, MATH-500, and composite math leaderboards as of early May 2026, where it scores 61.7% overall via advanced chain-of-thought reasoning that boosts hard-problem accuracy by 10-30%. Released in preview on April 7, this frontier large language model outpaces rivals without general availability, fueling bets on further refinement before resolution. OpenAI's GPT-5 series, including GPT-5.2 Pro topping some evals at 99%, holds 19% amid strong competition math showings but trails in reasoning-heavy tests. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro garners 11.5% for its scientific integrations, yet lacks pure math edge. With no major updates in the last 48 hours, late-May announcements could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$104,668শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a leading 67.5% implied probability for the best math AI model by May's end, driven by Claude Mythos Preview's dominance on key benchmarks like AIME, MATH-500, and composite math leaderboards as of early May 2026, where it scores 61.7% overall via advanced chain-of-thought reasoning that boosts hard-problem accuracy by 10-30%. Released in preview on April 7, this frontier large language model outpaces rivals without general availability, fueling bets on further refinement before resolution. OpenAI's GPT-5 series, including GPT-5.2 Pro topping some evals at 99%, holds 19% amid strong competition math showings but trails in reasoning-heavy tests. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro garners 11.5% for its scientific integrations, yet lacks pure math edge. With no major updates in the last 48 hours, late-May announcements could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ভলিউম
$104,668শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a leading 67.5% implied probability for the best math AI model by May's end, driven by Claude Mythos Preview's dominance on key benchmarks like AIME, MATH-500, and composite math leaderboards as of early May 2026, where it scores 61.7% overall via advanced chain-of-thought reasoning that boosts hard-problem accuracy by 10-30%. Released in preview on April 7, this frontier large language model outpaces rivals without general availability, fueling bets on further refinement before resolution. OpenAI's GPT-5 series, including GPT-5.2 Pro topping some evals at 99%, holds 19% amid strong competition math showings but trails in reasoning-heavy tests. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro garners 11.5% for its scientific integrations, yet lacks pure math edge. With no major updates in the last 48 hours, late-May announcements could shift dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা