Anthropic's recent release of Claude Opus 4.7 has driven the overwhelming market consensus, as the model posted leading scores on critical benchmarks including SWE-bench Pro for coding performance and safety-aligned evaluations. Traders see its demonstrated large language model capabilities in complex reasoning and constitutional AI training as maintaining a clear edge over competitors through the end of May. With resolution just two weeks away, few near-term catalysts appear poised to shift the ranking. A surprise model update from OpenAI or Google introducing superior multimodal features or efficiency gains could still narrow the gap, though such developments would require rapid validation on independent leaderboards to meaningfully alter trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 91%
Google 7%
OpenAI 1.3%
Alibaba <1%
$596,207 Vol.
$596,207 Vol.

Anthropic
91%

7%

OpenAI
1%

Alibaba
<1%

Meta
<1%

xAI
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 7%
OpenAI 1.3%
Alibaba <1%
$596,207 Vol.
$596,207 Vol.

Anthropic
91%

7%

OpenAI
1%

Alibaba
<1%

Meta
<1%

xAI
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Z.ai
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent release of Claude Opus 4.7 has driven the overwhelming market consensus, as the model posted leading scores on critical benchmarks including SWE-bench Pro for coding performance and safety-aligned evaluations. Traders see its demonstrated large language model capabilities in complex reasoning and constitutional AI training as maintaining a clear edge over competitors through the end of May. With resolution just two weeks away, few near-term catalysts appear poised to shift the ranking. A surprise model update from OpenAI or Google introducing superior multimodal features or efficiency gains could still narrow the gap, though such developments would require rapid validation on independent leaderboards to meaningfully alter trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা