Recent benchmark results and model updates have solidified trader views that OpenAI and Anthropic currently occupy the top two spots in overall AI capability. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and related releases demonstrate leading performance in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks, giving it a 69% implied probability for third place by end of May. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro family remains competitive through strong results on efficiency, long-context, and specific science benchmarks, supporting its 39% odds. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.5 Instant default rollout reinforces its frontrunner status and keeps its probability for third at just 1.5%. With no major flagship releases expected before month-end, these positions reflect steady capability gaps observed across public leaderboards.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich company has the third best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 72%
Google 29%
OpenAI 1.4%
xAI <1%
$91,764 Vol.
$91,764 Vol.

Anthropic
72%

29%

OpenAI
1%

xAI
1%

Baidu
<1%

Meta
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meituan
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 72%
Google 29%
OpenAI 1.4%
xAI <1%
$91,764 Vol.
$91,764 Vol.

Anthropic
72%

29%

OpenAI
1%

xAI
1%

Baidu
<1%

Meta
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meituan
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark results and model updates have solidified trader views that OpenAI and Anthropic currently occupy the top two spots in overall AI capability. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and related releases demonstrate leading performance in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks, giving it a 69% implied probability for third place by end of May. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro family remains competitive through strong results on efficiency, long-context, and specific science benchmarks, supporting its 39% odds. OpenAI's recent GPT-5.5 Instant default rollout reinforces its frontrunner status and keeps its probability for third at just 1.5%. With no major flagship releases expected before month-end, these positions reflect steady capability gaps observed across public leaderboards.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা