Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City Central Park today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 66°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds and a 20% chance of afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a tight 62-69°F spread, reflecting post-frontal cooling after yesterday's cloudier conditions, where Central Park recorded milder temperatures below seasonal norms (May average high ~71°F). Current midday readings near 65°F align with this outlook, though lingering overcast and potential instability could cap peaks lower or push into 68-69°F (30.5%). New hourly observations and evening model updates will refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 50%
68-69°F 31%
64-65°F 10%
70-71°F 5.5%
$37,092 Vol.
$37,092 Vol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 50%
68-69°F 31%
64-65°F 10%
70-71°F 5.5%
$37,092 Vol.
$37,092 Vol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$2,587 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,943 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,986 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$5,143 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$4,797 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$4,018 Vol.
50%
68-69°F
$2,866 Vol.
31%
70-71°F
$3,538 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$2,317 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$3,814 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City Central Park today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 66°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds and a 20% chance of afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a tight 62-69°F spread, reflecting post-frontal cooling after yesterday's cloudier conditions, where Central Park recorded milder temperatures below seasonal norms (May average high ~71°F). Current midday readings near 65°F align with this outlook, though lingering overcast and potential instability could cap peaks lower or push into 68-69°F (30.5%). New hourly observations and evening model updates will refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$37,092শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City Central Park today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 66°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds and a 20% chance of afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a tight 62-69°F spread, reflecting post-frontal cooling after yesterday's cloudier conditions, where Central Park recorded milder temperatures below seasonal norms (May average high ~71°F). Current midday readings near 65°F align with this outlook, though lingering overcast and potential instability could cap peaks lower or push into 68-69°F (30.5%). New hourly observations and evening model updates will refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$37,092শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City Central Park today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 66°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds and a 20% chance of afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a tight 62-69°F spread, reflecting post-frontal cooling after yesterday's cloudier conditions, where Central Park recorded milder temperatures below seasonal norms (May average high ~71°F). Current midday readings near 65°F align with this outlook, though lingering overcast and potential instability could cap peaks lower or push into 68-69°F (30.5%). New hourly observations and evening model updates will refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা