National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a daytime high near 90°F in Austin on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, positioning the 88°F-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 57 percent implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs climb into the mid-80s amid strengthening southerly moisture transport and minimal frontal interference. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show strong agreement on upper-level ridging that limits daytime cooling, though modest cloud cover could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Traders are weighting these factors heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official ASOS reading at Austin-Bergstrom, with secondary bands at 86–87°F capturing the remaining uncertainty from any late-day cooling or measurement variance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on May 17?
88°F or higher 65%
86-87°F 19%
84-85°F 8.9%
82-83°F 1.6%
$15,718 Vol.
$15,718 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
65%
88°F or higher 65%
86-87°F 19%
84-85°F 8.9%
82-83°F 1.6%
$15,718 Vol.
$15,718 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSNational Weather Service model consensus currently projects a daytime high near 90°F in Austin on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, positioning the 88°F-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 57 percent implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs climb into the mid-80s amid strengthening southerly moisture transport and minimal frontal interference. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show strong agreement on upper-level ridging that limits daytime cooling, though modest cloud cover could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Traders are weighting these factors heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official ASOS reading at Austin-Bergstrom, with secondary bands at 86–87°F capturing the remaining uncertainty from any late-day cooling or measurement variance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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