Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast model outputs converging around 12–13°C maxima for Munich on May 16, as persistent overcast skies, isolated thunderstorms, and a cool westerly flow suppress daytime heating under an upper-level trough. Official guidance from sources like timeanddate.com projects highs of 12°C with 65% precipitation odds and light winds, consistent with May 14 observations near 11°C amid drizzle. The tight clustering of 11–14°C outcomes (16–22% implied probabilities) stems from ensemble forecast spreads capturing uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks or shower timing, which could nudge peaks ±1–2°C. DWD and ECMWF runs expected overnight may refine this ahead of resolution based on official Munich Airport measurements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 35%
12°C 32%
14°C 20%
11°C 14%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
14%
12°C
32%
13°C
35%
14°C
20%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 32%
14°C 20%
11°C 14%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
14%
12°C
32%
13°C
35%
14°C
20%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast model outputs converging around 12–13°C maxima for Munich on May 16, as persistent overcast skies, isolated thunderstorms, and a cool westerly flow suppress daytime heating under an upper-level trough. Official guidance from sources like timeanddate.com projects highs of 12°C with 65% precipitation odds and light winds, consistent with May 14 observations near 11°C amid drizzle. The tight clustering of 11–14°C outcomes (16–22% implied probabilities) stems from ensemble forecast spreads capturing uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks or shower timing, which could nudge peaks ±1–2°C. DWD and ECMWF runs expected overnight may refine this ahead of resolution based on official Munich Airport measurements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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