National Weather Service model runs and real-time observations from San Francisco International Airport show afternoon temperatures stabilizing in the mid-60s under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow, placing the daily high squarely within the 66–67°F range. This outcome aligns closely with climatological May norms near 67°F while reflecting limited high-pressure influence that has kept low-level stratus and advection from suppressing warming. With resolution approaching, the market-implied 98.5% probability on 66–67°F captures the strong consensus across guidance, though modest erosion of the stratus deck or brief wind shifts could still allow a push to 68°F or higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
66-67°F 99.0%
68°F or higher 1.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$29,237 Vol.
$29,237 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
99%
68°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 99.0%
68°F or higher 1.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$29,237 Vol.
$29,237 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
99%
68°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
National Weather Service model runs and real-time observations from San Francisco International Airport show afternoon temperatures stabilizing in the mid-60s under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow, placing the daily high squarely within the 66–67°F range. This outcome aligns closely with climatological May norms near 67°F while reflecting limited high-pressure influence that has kept low-level stratus and advection from suppressing warming. With resolution approaching, the market-implied 98.5% probability on 66–67°F captures the strong consensus across guidance, though modest erosion of the stratus deck or brief wind shifts could still allow a push to 68°F or higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা