Recent Hong Kong Observatory model runs and regional forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for May 20 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that supports clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows between 23–25°C amid light southerly flows and residual moisture, with trader consensus clustering on the 24–27°C band because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can alter the exact cooling rate by 1–2°C. Persistent high pressure favors the current leading outcome at 24°C, while any increase in convective activity or moisture advection could push readings toward 26–27°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 24%
25°C 16%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
27%
25°C
20%
26°C
21%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 24%
25°C 16%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
27%
25°C
20%
26°C
21%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Hong Kong Observatory model runs and regional forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for May 20 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that supports clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows between 23–25°C amid light southerly flows and residual moisture, with trader consensus clustering on the 24–27°C band because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can alter the exact cooling rate by 1–2°C. Persistent high pressure favors the current leading outcome at 24°C, while any increase in convective activity or moisture advection could push readings toward 26–27°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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