Recent forecast guidance from European numerical weather models points to a modest spring warming trend across northern France, with Paris expected to see partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting afternoon mixing. This setup favors a daily maximum between 15 °C and 16 °C, as daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover competes with lingering cool air advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology for the Île-de-France region shows similar near-average conditions occurring roughly 30 % of the time, underscoring why traders see these two outcomes as nearly equiprobable ahead of tomorrow’s Météo-France update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
15°C 37%
16°C 36%
17°C 19%
14°C 10%
$15,809 Vol.
$15,809 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
37%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 37%
16°C 36%
17°C 19%
14°C 10%
$15,809 Vol.
$15,809 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
37%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from European numerical weather models points to a modest spring warming trend across northern France, with Paris expected to see partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting afternoon mixing. This setup favors a daily maximum between 15 °C and 16 °C, as daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover competes with lingering cool air advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology for the Île-de-France region shows similar near-average conditions occurring roughly 30 % of the time, underscoring why traders see these two outcomes as nearly equiprobable ahead of tomorrow’s Météo-France update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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