Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, positioning overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 20–22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, which supports the market’s leading 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 49 % implied probability while also leaving room for localized clearing that could drop readings toward 15 °C or below. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, when average lows reach 17–19 °C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. The next official 48-hour guidance update and fresh observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 20?
15°C or below 71%
25°C or higher 49%
22°C 28%
21°C 22%
15°C or below
71%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
49%
15°C or below 71%
25°C or higher 49%
22°C 28%
21°C 22%
15°C or below
71%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, positioning overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 20–22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, which supports the market’s leading 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 49 % implied probability while also leaving room for localized clearing that could drop readings toward 15 °C or below. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, when average lows reach 17–19 °C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. The next official 48-hour guidance update and fresh observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা