Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Chicago on May 17, reflecting robust National Weather Service guidance and forecast model agreement (GFS, NAM, ECMWF) projecting daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge and south-to-southwest winds enhancing warm air advection. Recent 00z and 06z model runs on May 15 show tight clustering around 74-78°F peaks near O'Hare, well above May climatological normals of ~67°F, with low precipitation risk limiting cloud-induced moderation. Lake breeze effects may temper downtown readings slightly, but official point forecasts confirm the threshold clearance. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold frontal surge or enhanced cloudiness from upstream convection, though ensemble spreads remain narrow; monitor 12z updates on May 16 for refinements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 17?
64°F or higher 99.8%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$15,673 Vol.
$15,673 Vol.
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
100%
64°F or higher 99.8%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$15,673 Vol.
$15,673 Vol.
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 64°F or higher in Chicago on May 17, reflecting robust National Weather Service guidance and forecast model agreement (GFS, NAM, ECMWF) projecting daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge and south-to-southwest winds enhancing warm air advection. Recent 00z and 06z model runs on May 15 show tight clustering around 74-78°F peaks near O'Hare, well above May climatological normals of ~67°F, with low precipitation risk limiting cloud-induced moderation. Lake breeze effects may temper downtown readings slightly, but official point forecasts confirm the threshold clearance. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold frontal surge or enhanced cloudiness from upstream convection, though ensemble spreads remain narrow; monitor 12z updates on May 16 for refinements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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