Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecast models projecting a high temperature near 21°C in São Paulo today, driven by lingering cold advection from an early May polar air mass that brought the season's first cold wave around May 9-10, suppressing highs below the 23°C May average. Persistent cloud cover and southerly winds differentiate outcomes: sustained overcast conditions could cap the peak at 20°C or below (37.5% implied probability), while partial afternoon clearing might push to 22°C (31%) or 23°C (12%), per model spreads in boundary layer stability and insolation. Official station data (e.g., Guarulhos Airport) will resolve; monitor INMET hourly updates as the day progresses for shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
20°C or below 38%
22°C 28%
21°C 22%
23°C 13%
নতুন
$28,980 Vol.
নতুন
$28,980 Vol.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
38%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
13%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 38%
22°C 28%
21°C 22%
23°C 13%
নতুন
$28,980 Vol.
নতুন
$28,980 Vol.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$4,790 Vol.
38%
21°C
$3,215 Vol.
22%
22°C
$3,769 Vol.
28%
23°C
$3,332 Vol.
13%
24°C
$2,298 Vol.
4%
25°C
$3,425 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,156 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,044 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,716 Vol.
1%
29°C
$753 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$1,523 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecast models projecting a high temperature near 21°C in São Paulo today, driven by lingering cold advection from an early May polar air mass that brought the season's first cold wave around May 9-10, suppressing highs below the 23°C May average. Persistent cloud cover and southerly winds differentiate outcomes: sustained overcast conditions could cap the peak at 20°C or below (37.5% implied probability), while partial afternoon clearing might push to 22°C (31%) or 23°C (12%), per model spreads in boundary layer stability and insolation. Official station data (e.g., Guarulhos Airport) will resolve; monitor INMET hourly updates as the day progresses for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$28,980শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecast models projecting a high temperature near 21°C in São Paulo today, driven by lingering cold advection from an early May polar air mass that brought the season's first cold wave around May 9-10, suppressing highs below the 23°C May average. Persistent cloud cover and southerly winds differentiate outcomes: sustained overcast conditions could cap the peak at 20°C or below (37.5% implied probability), while partial afternoon clearing might push to 22°C (31%) or 23°C (12%), per model spreads in boundary layer stability and insolation. Official station data (e.g., Guarulhos Airport) will resolve; monitor INMET hourly updates as the day progresses for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$28,980শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecast models projecting a high temperature near 21°C in São Paulo today, driven by lingering cold advection from an early May polar air mass that brought the season's first cold wave around May 9-10, suppressing highs below the 23°C May average. Persistent cloud cover and southerly winds differentiate outcomes: sustained overcast conditions could cap the peak at 20°C or below (37.5% implied probability), while partial afternoon clearing might push to 22°C (31%) or 23°C (12%), per model spreads in boundary layer stability and insolation. Official station data (e.g., Guarulhos Airport) will resolve; monitor INMET hourly updates as the day progresses for shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা