Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) hourly observations and Wunderground data from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 22°C reached mid-afternoon on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent morning cloud cover curtailed insolation, while onshore sea breeze advection brought cooler marine air, suppressing highs below the initial JMA forecast of 25°C under partly clearing skies. With the diurnal heating cycle concluded, declining solar angles, and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges like abrupt clearing or anomalous downslope warming are improbable given stable upper-air patterns and mid-May climatological norms around 23.5°C. Final JMA daily summary post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$119,596 Vol.
$119,596 Vol.
May 15, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$119,596 Vol.
$119,596 Vol.
May 15, 2026
22°C
$22,383 Vol.
100%
23°C
$13,808 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15,561 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,557 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,793 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) hourly observations and Wunderground data from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 22°C reached mid-afternoon on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent morning cloud cover curtailed insolation, while onshore sea breeze advection brought cooler marine air, suppressing highs below the initial JMA forecast of 25°C under partly clearing skies. With the diurnal heating cycle concluded, declining solar angles, and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges like abrupt clearing or anomalous downslope warming are improbable given stable upper-air patterns and mid-May climatological norms around 23.5°C. Final JMA daily summary post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$119,596শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) hourly observations and Wunderground data from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 22°C reached mid-afternoon on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent morning cloud cover curtailed insolation, while onshore sea breeze advection brought cooler marine air, suppressing highs below the initial JMA forecast of 25°C under partly clearing skies. With the diurnal heating cycle concluded, declining solar angles, and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges like abrupt clearing or anomalous downslope warming are improbable given stable upper-air patterns and mid-May climatological norms around 23.5°C. Final JMA daily summary post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$119,596শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) hourly observations and Wunderground data from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 22°C reached mid-afternoon on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent morning cloud cover curtailed insolation, while onshore sea breeze advection brought cooler marine air, suppressing highs below the initial JMA forecast of 25°C under partly clearing skies. With the diurnal heating cycle concluded, declining solar angles, and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges like abrupt clearing or anomalous downslope warming are improbable given stable upper-air patterns and mid-May climatological norms around 23.5°C. Final JMA daily summary post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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