Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate a modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, producing daytime highs clustered between 23–26 °C for Moscow on May 17. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24 °C and 25 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology shows typical peaks near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Traders are monitoring the 12 UTC model updates for any shift in the 500 hPa ridge position or low-level moisture, which will refine the exact peak before official observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports finalize resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
24°C 32%
25°C 28%
26°C 15.0%
23°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
14%
24°C
32%
25°C
28%
26°C
15%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 32%
25°C 28%
26°C 15.0%
23°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$677 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$391 Vol.
1%
21°C
$290 Vol.
3%
22°C
$131 Vol.
9%
23°C
$113 Vol.
14%
24°C
$57 Vol.
32%
25°C
$90 Vol.
28%
26°C
$405 Vol.
15%
27°C
$236 Vol.
6%
28°C or higher
$439 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate a modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, producing daytime highs clustered between 23–26 °C for Moscow on May 17. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24 °C and 25 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology shows typical peaks near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Traders are monitoring the 12 UTC model updates for any shift in the 500 hPa ridge position or low-level moisture, which will refine the exact peak before official observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,381শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate a modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, producing daytime highs clustered between 23–26 °C for Moscow on May 17. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24 °C and 25 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology shows typical peaks near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Traders are monitoring the 12 UTC model updates for any shift in the 500 hPa ridge position or low-level moisture, which will refine the exact peak before official observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$3,381শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate a modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, producing daytime highs clustered between 23–26 °C for Moscow on May 17. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24 °C and 25 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology shows typical peaks near 18 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. Traders are monitoring the 12 UTC model updates for any shift in the 500 hPa ridge position or low-level moisture, which will refine the exact peak before official observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports finalize resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা