Strong containment efforts and limited geographic spread despite thousands of confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda drive the 96.3% market-implied probability of no Ebola pandemic in 2026. Official CDC and WHO data show roughly 4,500–4,700 cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, concentrated in conflict-affected Ituri Province and adjacent areas, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and negligible risk to the broader global population. Historical patterns of prior Ebola outbreaks and current epidemiological indicators—such as contact tracing coverage exceeding 84% in affected zones and low exportation risk—support trader consensus that sustained international response, including surveillance and isolation protocols, will prevent pandemic-scale spread. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include rapid escalation into new provinces or countries if conflict disrupts response infrastructure before the outbreak resolves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% সম্ভাবনা
$691,757 Vol.
$691,757 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% সম্ভাবনা
$691,757 Vol.
$691,757 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong containment efforts and limited geographic spread despite thousands of confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda drive the 96.3% market-implied probability of no Ebola pandemic in 2026. Official CDC and WHO data show roughly 4,500–4,700 cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, concentrated in conflict-affected Ituri Province and adjacent areas, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and negligible risk to the broader global population. Historical patterns of prior Ebola outbreaks and current epidemiological indicators—such as contact tracing coverage exceeding 84% in affected zones and low exportation risk—support trader consensus that sustained international response, including surveillance and isolation protocols, will prevent pandemic-scale spread. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include rapid escalation into new provinces or countries if conflict disrupts response infrastructure before the outbreak resolves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$691,757শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong containment efforts and limited geographic spread despite thousands of confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda drive the 96.3% market-implied probability of no Ebola pandemic in 2026. Official CDC and WHO data show roughly 4,500–4,700 cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, concentrated in conflict-affected Ituri Province and adjacent areas, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and negligible risk to the broader global population. Historical patterns of prior Ebola outbreaks and current epidemiological indicators—such as contact tracing coverage exceeding 84% in affected zones and low exportation risk—support trader consensus that sustained international response, including surveillance and isolation protocols, will prevent pandemic-scale spread. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include rapid escalation into new provinces or countries if conflict disrupts response infrastructure before the outbreak resolves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$691,757শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong containment efforts and limited geographic spread despite thousands of confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda drive the 96.3% market-implied probability of no Ebola pandemic in 2026. Official CDC and WHO data show roughly 4,500–4,700 cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, concentrated in conflict-affected Ituri Province and adjacent areas, with no confirmed transmission outside the region and negligible risk to the broader global population. Historical patterns of prior Ebola outbreaks and current epidemiological indicators—such as contact tracing coverage exceeding 84% in affected zones and low exportation risk—support trader consensus that sustained international response, including surveillance and isolation protocols, will prevent pandemic-scale spread. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include rapid escalation into new provinces or countries if conflict disrupts response infrastructure before the outbreak resolves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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