Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a ridge of high pressure sustaining southerly advection of warm air over central Iberia, positioning Madrid’s August 18 maximum near 37–39 °C. Model guidance shows only modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 38 °C (43 %) and 39 °C (30 %). Afternoon dew-point depressions and light northerly winds may cap further warming, while any slight eastward shift in the ridge axis could push readings toward 40 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
38°C 43%
39°C 31%
40°C 14%
37°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
10%
38°C
43%
39°C
31%
40°C
14%
41°C
1%
42°C
3%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 43%
39°C 31%
40°C 14%
37°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$30 Vol.
1%
36°C
$29 Vol.
3%
37°C
$49 Vol.
10%
38°C
$183 Vol.
43%
39°C
$209 Vol.
31%
40°C
$18 Vol.
14%
41°C
$30 Vol.
1%
42°C
$5 Vol.
3%
43°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a ridge of high pressure sustaining southerly advection of warm air over central Iberia, positioning Madrid’s August 18 maximum near 37–39 °C. Model guidance shows only modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 38 °C (43 %) and 39 °C (30 %). Afternoon dew-point depressions and light northerly winds may cap further warming, while any slight eastward shift in the ridge axis could push readings toward 40 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,032শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a ridge of high pressure sustaining southerly advection of warm air over central Iberia, positioning Madrid’s August 18 maximum near 37–39 °C. Model guidance shows only modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 38 °C (43 %) and 39 °C (30 %). Afternoon dew-point depressions and light northerly winds may cap further warming, while any slight eastward shift in the ridge axis could push readings toward 40 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,032শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET point to a ridge of high pressure sustaining southerly advection of warm air over central Iberia, positioning Madrid’s August 18 maximum near 37–39 °C. Model guidance shows only modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 38 °C (43 %) and 39 °C (30 %). Afternoon dew-point depressions and light northerly winds may cap further warming, while any slight eastward shift in the ridge axis could push readings toward 40 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা