Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, with 246 suspected cases and 65–80 deaths but only 13 laboratory-verified infections as of mid-May 2026, underpins the market’s strong 94.5 percent “No” odds against a WHO public-health emergency declaration by June 30. Africa CDC and WHO teams have deployed rapidly for surveillance, contact tracing, and infection control, while preliminary sequencing points to a non-Zaire strain such as Bundibugyo, historically associated with lower transmission rates than the Zaire variant that triggered the 2014–2016 emergency. Historical patterns show that small, geographically contained outbreaks rarely escalate to international-emergency status within weeks, especially when official case thresholds and cross-border spread remain modest. Traders therefore price in continued containment unless confirmed cases surge sharply or sustained transmission reaches neighboring Uganda and South Sudan before the June deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডEbola emergency by June 30?
Ebola emergency by June 30?
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 30, 2026
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, with 246 suspected cases and 65–80 deaths but only 13 laboratory-verified infections as of mid-May 2026, underpins the market’s strong 94.5 percent “No” odds against a WHO public-health emergency declaration by June 30. Africa CDC and WHO teams have deployed rapidly for surveillance, contact tracing, and infection control, while preliminary sequencing points to a non-Zaire strain such as Bundibugyo, historically associated with lower transmission rates than the Zaire variant that triggered the 2014–2016 emergency. Historical patterns show that small, geographically contained outbreaks rarely escalate to international-emergency status within weeks, especially when official case thresholds and cross-border spread remain modest. Traders therefore price in continued containment unless confirmed cases surge sharply or sustained transmission reaches neighboring Uganda and South Sudan before the June deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,440শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, with 246 suspected cases and 65–80 deaths but only 13 laboratory-verified infections as of mid-May 2026, underpins the market’s strong 94.5 percent “No” odds against a WHO public-health emergency declaration by June 30. Africa CDC and WHO teams have deployed rapidly for surveillance, contact tracing, and infection control, while preliminary sequencing points to a non-Zaire strain such as Bundibugyo, historically associated with lower transmission rates than the Zaire variant that triggered the 2014–2016 emergency. Historical patterns show that small, geographically contained outbreaks rarely escalate to international-emergency status within weeks, especially when official case thresholds and cross-border spread remain modest. Traders therefore price in continued containment unless confirmed cases surge sharply or sustained transmission reaches neighboring Uganda and South Sudan before the June deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,440শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, with 246 suspected cases and 65–80 deaths but only 13 laboratory-verified infections as of mid-May 2026, underpins the market’s strong 94.5 percent “No” odds against a WHO public-health emergency declaration by June 30. Africa CDC and WHO teams have deployed rapidly for surveillance, contact tracing, and infection control, while preliminary sequencing points to a non-Zaire strain such as Bundibugyo, historically associated with lower transmission rates than the Zaire variant that triggered the 2014–2016 emergency. Historical patterns show that small, geographically contained outbreaks rarely escalate to international-emergency status within weeks, especially when official case thresholds and cross-border spread remain modest. Traders therefore price in continued containment unless confirmed cases surge sharply or sustained transmission reaches neighboring Uganda and South Sudan before the June deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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