Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tokyo's May 16 overnight low clustering tightly around 15–16°C, driving trader consensus with 27.5% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 16°C amid minor spreads in predicted cloud cover and light winds that could enhance or limit nocturnal radiative cooling. A cold front that swept the Kanto Plain on May 10–11 produced recent lows below 15°C, setting a cooler-than-average mid-May baseline (historical norms 14–17°C), though partial clearing is expected. Uncertainties in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with JMA's daily updates through May 15 likely to sharpen model convergence before resolution at Tokyo station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
17°C 12%
14°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
21%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
21%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
17°C 12%
14°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$298 Vol.
4%
14°C
$10 Vol.
21%
15°C
$125 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$20 Vol.
21%
18°C
$44 Vol.
5%
19°C
$76 Vol.
1%
20°C
$420 Vol.
1%
21°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$340 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tokyo's May 16 overnight low clustering tightly around 15–16°C, driving trader consensus with 27.5% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 16°C amid minor spreads in predicted cloud cover and light winds that could enhance or limit nocturnal radiative cooling. A cold front that swept the Kanto Plain on May 10–11 produced recent lows below 15°C, setting a cooler-than-average mid-May baseline (historical norms 14–17°C), though partial clearing is expected. Uncertainties in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with JMA's daily updates through May 15 likely to sharpen model convergence before resolution at Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,791শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tokyo's May 16 overnight low clustering tightly around 15–16°C, driving trader consensus with 27.5% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 16°C amid minor spreads in predicted cloud cover and light winds that could enhance or limit nocturnal radiative cooling. A cold front that swept the Kanto Plain on May 10–11 produced recent lows below 15°C, setting a cooler-than-average mid-May baseline (historical norms 14–17°C), though partial clearing is expected. Uncertainties in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with JMA's daily updates through May 15 likely to sharpen model convergence before resolution at Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$1,791শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tokyo's May 16 overnight low clustering tightly around 15–16°C, driving trader consensus with 27.5% implied probability for 15°C and 25% for 16°C amid minor spreads in predicted cloud cover and light winds that could enhance or limit nocturnal radiative cooling. A cold front that swept the Kanto Plain on May 10–11 produced recent lows below 15°C, setting a cooler-than-average mid-May baseline (historical norms 14–17°C), though partial clearing is expected. Uncertainties in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with JMA's daily updates through May 15 likely to sharpen model convergence before resolution at Tokyo station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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