Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts for Tokyo's May 17 overnight low, with 16°C and 17°C each at 21% implied probability, driven by the agency's latest guidance projecting around 16°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling. Recent cooler-than-average nights—May 15 low near 14°C per tenki.jp (JMA-affiliated)—have pulled expectations downward from climatological mid-May norms of 15–18°C, while ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) introduce variability via differing cloud cover predictions and upper-air stability. Urban heat island effects at official Tokyo stations add further nuance; watch JMA's twice-daily updates through May 16 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
17°C 21%
16°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below 12.8%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
11%
15°C
9%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
13%
20°C
6%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 21%
16°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below 12.8%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$108 Vol.
11%
15°C
$69 Vol.
9%
16°C
$3 Vol.
21%
17°C
$7 Vol.
21%
18°C
$3 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$34 Vol.
6%
21°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$35 Vol.
1%
23°C
$147 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$69 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts for Tokyo's May 17 overnight low, with 16°C and 17°C each at 21% implied probability, driven by the agency's latest guidance projecting around 16°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling. Recent cooler-than-average nights—May 15 low near 14°C per tenki.jp (JMA-affiliated)—have pulled expectations downward from climatological mid-May norms of 15–18°C, while ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) introduce variability via differing cloud cover predictions and upper-air stability. Urban heat island effects at official Tokyo stations add further nuance; watch JMA's twice-daily updates through May 16 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ভলিউম
$552শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts for Tokyo's May 17 overnight low, with 16°C and 17°C each at 21% implied probability, driven by the agency's latest guidance projecting around 16°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling. Recent cooler-than-average nights—May 15 low near 14°C per tenki.jp (JMA-affiliated)—have pulled expectations downward from climatological mid-May norms of 15–18°C, while ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) introduce variability via differing cloud cover predictions and upper-air stability. Urban heat island effects at official Tokyo stations add further nuance; watch JMA's twice-daily updates through May 16 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$552শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts for Tokyo's May 17 overnight low, with 16°C and 17°C each at 21% implied probability, driven by the agency's latest guidance projecting around 16°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling. Recent cooler-than-average nights—May 15 low near 14°C per tenki.jp (JMA-affiliated)—have pulled expectations downward from climatological mid-May norms of 15–18°C, while ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) introduce variability via differing cloud cover predictions and upper-air stability. Urban heat island effects at official Tokyo stations add further nuance; watch JMA's twice-daily updates through May 16 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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