Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a high temperature of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting 26-28°C amid the dry season peak, when solar heating intensifies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent SMN updates confirm sustained warmth, with early May highs averaging 27°C and surrounding Estado de México reaching 30-35°C under high-pressure dominance, aligning with climatological norms where mid-May maximums rarely dip below 24°C. Model ensembles from global forecasts corroborate clear skies and light winds favoring daytime peaks. An unexpected cool front or heavy cloud cover could challenge this, though Pacific steering patterns and ENSO-neutral conditions render it highly unlikely; resolution awaits official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport stations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 99.8%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
নতুন
$26,009 Vol.
নতুন
$26,009 Vol.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
24°C or higher 99.8%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
নতুন
$26,009 Vol.
নতুন
$26,009 Vol.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,650 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,230 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,266 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$9,090 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,213 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,919 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,648 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a high temperature of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting 26-28°C amid the dry season peak, when solar heating intensifies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent SMN updates confirm sustained warmth, with early May highs averaging 27°C and surrounding Estado de México reaching 30-35°C under high-pressure dominance, aligning with climatological norms where mid-May maximums rarely dip below 24°C. Model ensembles from global forecasts corroborate clear skies and light winds favoring daytime peaks. An unexpected cool front or heavy cloud cover could challenge this, though Pacific steering patterns and ENSO-neutral conditions render it highly unlikely; resolution awaits official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$26,009শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a high temperature of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting 26-28°C amid the dry season peak, when solar heating intensifies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent SMN updates confirm sustained warmth, with early May highs averaging 27°C and surrounding Estado de México reaching 30-35°C under high-pressure dominance, aligning with climatological norms where mid-May maximums rarely dip below 24°C. Model ensembles from global forecasts corroborate clear skies and light winds favoring daytime peaks. An unexpected cool front or heavy cloud cover could challenge this, though Pacific steering patterns and ENSO-neutral conditions render it highly unlikely; resolution awaits official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$26,009শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a high temperature of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting 26-28°C amid the dry season peak, when solar heating intensifies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent SMN updates confirm sustained warmth, with early May highs averaging 27°C and surrounding Estado de México reaching 30-35°C under high-pressure dominance, aligning with climatological norms where mid-May maximums rarely dip below 24°C. Model ensembles from global forecasts corroborate clear skies and light winds favoring daytime peaks. An unexpected cool front or heavy cloud cover could challenge this, though Pacific steering patterns and ENSO-neutral conditions render it highly unlikely; resolution awaits official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport stations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা