Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a daytime high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by strengthening high pressure that should allow partial marine-layer burn-off and modest warming under mostly sunny skies with west winds of 10–15 mph. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continues to advect cooler air, holding temperatures close to the May climatological average of 67°F and preventing stronger inland heating. Recent runs show only minor spread between GFS and ECMWF solutions, with any thicker stratus lingering overnight likely capping peaks in the mid-60s rather than pushing into the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are therefore balancing the 35.5 % chance of 68 °F or higher against the 31 % probability of 66–67 °F, with resolution hinging on final afternoon observations at San Francisco International Airport.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 36%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 15%
62-63°F 5%
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
32%
68°F or higher
36%
68°F or higher 36%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 15%
62-63°F 5%
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
32%
68°F or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a daytime high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by strengthening high pressure that should allow partial marine-layer burn-off and modest warming under mostly sunny skies with west winds of 10–15 mph. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continues to advect cooler air, holding temperatures close to the May climatological average of 67°F and preventing stronger inland heating. Recent runs show only minor spread between GFS and ECMWF solutions, with any thicker stratus lingering overnight likely capping peaks in the mid-60s rather than pushing into the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are therefore balancing the 35.5 % chance of 68 °F or higher against the 31 % probability of 66–67 °F, with resolution hinging on final afternoon observations at San Francisco International Airport.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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