Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts center Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader consensus to price it at 51.5% implied probability amid tight spreads for 12–14°C outcomes, reflecting low uncertainty under 1°C. A persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a cold front with thunderstorms on May 13–14 has locked in overcast skies, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation, capping daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—May 14 mornings dipped to 8°C with wintry mix near Paris-Montsouris. Afternoon observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, will confirm the peak, with new 12Z model runs potentially fine-tuning the narrow range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on May 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 15?
13°C 57%
12°C 20%
14°C 18%
15°C 5.7%
$43,256 Vol.
$43,256 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
20%
13°C
57%
14°C
18%
15°C
6%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 57%
12°C 20%
14°C 18%
15°C 5.7%
$43,256 Vol.
$43,256 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
20%
13°C
57%
14°C
18%
15°C
6%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts center Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader consensus to price it at 51.5% implied probability amid tight spreads for 12–14°C outcomes, reflecting low uncertainty under 1°C. A persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a cold front with thunderstorms on May 13–14 has locked in overcast skies, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation, capping daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—May 14 mornings dipped to 8°C with wintry mix near Paris-Montsouris. Afternoon observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, will confirm the peak, with new 12Z model runs potentially fine-tuning the narrow range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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