Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast update projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 reaching 29-31°C under clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to 66% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This reflects an ongoing early-season heatwave gripping South Korea, with May 14's observed high of 26.3°C exceeding seasonal norms of around 23°C; warm southerly air advection and strong insolation have fueled recent spikes. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF align on upper-20s to low-30s peaks, though minor uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon cloud development. KMA hourly observations will refine resolution as the event unfolds tomorrow.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
26°C or higher 67%
25°C 21%
24°C 7%
23°C 2.5%
$186,021 Vol.
$186,021 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C or higher
67%
26°C or higher 67%
25°C 21%
24°C 7%
23°C 2.5%
$186,021 Vol.
$186,021 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast update projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 reaching 29-31°C under clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to 66% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This reflects an ongoing early-season heatwave gripping South Korea, with May 14's observed high of 26.3°C exceeding seasonal norms of around 23°C; warm southerly air advection and strong insolation have fueled recent spikes. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF align on upper-20s to low-30s peaks, though minor uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon cloud development. KMA hourly observations will refine resolution as the event unfolds tomorrow.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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