Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,355 Vol.
$69,355 Vol.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,355 Vol.
$69,355 Vol.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
$7,342 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,749 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,763 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,760 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$5,766 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,304 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,898 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,113 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,095 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,555 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$3,010 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
ভলিউম
$69,355শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$69,355শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা