Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, echoed by IMGW observations and sites like AccuWeather, projects Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty reflected in the spread. Morning readings near 8°C have climbed to 18-19°C midday under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 10-14 mph, but increasing overcast (up to 70%) and light afternoon showers risk capping peaks below 21°C, as hourly guidance shows maxima near 19.4°C before cooling. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud fraction limiting insolation, precipitation timing, and boundary layer mixing; May climatology averages 19°C highs, with official station data (likely Chopin Airport) resolving the market by evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
20°C 36%
19°C 25%
21°C 15%
18°C 12.5%
নতুন
$30,939 Vol.
নতুন
$30,939 Vol.
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
25%
20°C
36%
21°C
15%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 25%
21°C 15%
18°C 12.5%
নতুন
$30,939 Vol.
নতুন
$30,939 Vol.
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,608 Vol.
3%
18°C
$2,914 Vol.
13%
19°C
$4,382 Vol.
25%
20°C
$2,319 Vol.
36%
21°C
$3,606 Vol.
15%
22°C
$3,254 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5,969 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,653 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, echoed by IMGW observations and sites like AccuWeather, projects Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty reflected in the spread. Morning readings near 8°C have climbed to 18-19°C midday under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 10-14 mph, but increasing overcast (up to 70%) and light afternoon showers risk capping peaks below 21°C, as hourly guidance shows maxima near 19.4°C before cooling. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud fraction limiting insolation, precipitation timing, and boundary layer mixing; May climatology averages 19°C highs, with official station data (likely Chopin Airport) resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,939শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, echoed by IMGW observations and sites like AccuWeather, projects Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty reflected in the spread. Morning readings near 8°C have climbed to 18-19°C midday under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 10-14 mph, but increasing overcast (up to 70%) and light afternoon showers risk capping peaks below 21°C, as hourly guidance shows maxima near 19.4°C before cooling. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud fraction limiting insolation, precipitation timing, and boundary layer mixing; May climatology averages 19°C highs, with official station data (likely Chopin Airport) resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$30,939শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, echoed by IMGW observations and sites like AccuWeather, projects Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty reflected in the spread. Morning readings near 8°C have climbed to 18-19°C midday under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 10-14 mph, but increasing overcast (up to 70%) and light afternoon showers risk capping peaks below 21°C, as hourly guidance shows maxima near 19.4°C before cooling. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud fraction limiting insolation, precipitation timing, and boundary layer mixing; May climatology averages 19°C highs, with official station data (likely Chopin Airport) resolving the market by evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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