MetService's latest forecast for May 15 projects a daytime high of 13°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—under a high-pressure ridge promoting settled conditions with southeasterly winds around 20-25 km/h and partial cloud cover that curbs solar heating. This aligns with model consensus from NIWA and others showing cool air advection from the south, consistent with early-morning observations of 10.5°C amid brisk SE breezes. Trader sentiment reflects this strong evidence, implying 99.6% odds for 13°C amid autumnal norms where May highs average 14°C but synoptic patterns favor restraint. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind easing or full clearing skies boosting insolation to nudge toward 14°C, though hourly updates from MetService will refine this before evening close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,769 Vol.
$50,769 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,769 Vol.
$50,769 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for May 15 projects a daytime high of 13°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—under a high-pressure ridge promoting settled conditions with southeasterly winds around 20-25 km/h and partial cloud cover that curbs solar heating. This aligns with model consensus from NIWA and others showing cool air advection from the south, consistent with early-morning observations of 10.5°C amid brisk SE breezes. Trader sentiment reflects this strong evidence, implying 99.6% odds for 13°C amid autumnal norms where May highs average 14°C but synoptic patterns favor restraint. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind easing or full clearing skies boosting insolation to nudge toward 14°C, though hourly updates from MetService will refine this before evening close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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