Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued May 14, which confirms an ongoing heat wave across central Mexico with expected highs of 27-29°C through May 15 and similar conditions persisting. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, reflected in extended outlooks, project peaks around 27-28°C amid upper-level ridging promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent days logged above-average temperatures near 28°C, elevating sentiment for warmth, though incoming moisture risks afternoon showers that could cap peaks near 25°C (19.5% odds). Updated SMN guidance and new model runs expected May 15 may refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
26°C or higher 85%
25°C 7%
24°C 5%
22°C <1%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
76%
26°C or higher 85%
25°C 7%
24°C 5%
22°C <1%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$581 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$609 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$921 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$125 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$44 Vol.
5%
25°C
$11 Vol.
7%
26°C or higher
$22 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued May 14, which confirms an ongoing heat wave across central Mexico with expected highs of 27-29°C through May 15 and similar conditions persisting. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, reflected in extended outlooks, project peaks around 27-28°C amid upper-level ridging promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent days logged above-average temperatures near 28°C, elevating sentiment for warmth, though incoming moisture risks afternoon showers that could cap peaks near 25°C (19.5% odds). Updated SMN guidance and new model runs expected May 15 may refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,329শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued May 14, which confirms an ongoing heat wave across central Mexico with expected highs of 27-29°C through May 15 and similar conditions persisting. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, reflected in extended outlooks, project peaks around 27-28°C amid upper-level ridging promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent days logged above-average temperatures near 28°C, elevating sentiment for warmth, though incoming moisture risks afternoon showers that could cap peaks near 25°C (19.5% odds). Updated SMN guidance and new model runs expected May 15 may refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$3,329শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued May 14, which confirms an ongoing heat wave across central Mexico with expected highs of 27-29°C through May 15 and similar conditions persisting. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, reflected in extended outlooks, project peaks around 27-28°C amid upper-level ridging promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent days logged above-average temperatures near 28°C, elevating sentiment for warmth, though incoming moisture risks afternoon showers that could cap peaks near 25°C (19.5% odds). Updated SMN guidance and new model runs expected May 15 may refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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