Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-range forecast, updated as of May 15, projects a maximum temperature around 26-27°C on May 16 under mainly cloudy conditions with showers from a lingering trough of low pressure over the region, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes at 32.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities. The close contest reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—thicker overcast could cap highs at 26°C via reduced solar insolation, while intermittent clearing might enable brief spikes to 27°C amid high humidity and light winds. Recent days saw peaks above 31°C, but this cooler shift aligns with seasonal norms averaging 28°C; watch for afternoon updates as resolution nears.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
28°C 18%
25°C 8.5%
নতুন
$59,135 Vol.
নতুন
$59,135 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
34%
27°C
38%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
5%
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
28°C 18%
25°C 8.5%
নতুন
$59,135 Vol.
নতুন
$59,135 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$16,595 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$10,519 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10,759 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,167 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,069 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,838 Vol.
1%
25°C
$3,025 Vol.
9%
26°C
$2,329 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,915 Vol.
38%
28°C
$1,209 Vol.
18%
29°C or higher
$1,757 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-range forecast, updated as of May 15, projects a maximum temperature around 26-27°C on May 16 under mainly cloudy conditions with showers from a lingering trough of low pressure over the region, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes at 32.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities. The close contest reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—thicker overcast could cap highs at 26°C via reduced solar insolation, while intermittent clearing might enable brief spikes to 27°C amid high humidity and light winds. Recent days saw peaks above 31°C, but this cooler shift aligns with seasonal norms averaging 28°C; watch for afternoon updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ভলিউম
$59,135শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-range forecast, updated as of May 15, projects a maximum temperature around 26-27°C on May 16 under mainly cloudy conditions with showers from a lingering trough of low pressure over the region, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes at 32.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities. The close contest reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—thicker overcast could cap highs at 26°C via reduced solar insolation, while intermittent clearing might enable brief spikes to 27°C amid high humidity and light winds. Recent days saw peaks above 31°C, but this cooler shift aligns with seasonal norms averaging 28°C; watch for afternoon updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$59,135শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest short-range forecast, updated as of May 15, projects a maximum temperature around 26-27°C on May 16 under mainly cloudy conditions with showers from a lingering trough of low pressure over the region, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes at 32.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities. The close contest reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—thicker overcast could cap highs at 26°C via reduced solar insolation, while intermittent clearing might enable brief spikes to 27°C amid high humidity and light winds. Recent days saw peaks above 31°C, but this cooler shift aligns with seasonal norms averaging 28°C; watch for afternoon updates as resolution nears.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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