Current forecast models from global ensembles and Indonesia's BMKG indicate a maximum temperature of 32°C in Jakarta on May 17, underpinning the market's dominant 71% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early dry-season conditions near the equator, where clear skies and steady trade winds allow peak diurnal heating around midday without significant convective suppression. Historical May averages range 31–33°C under ENSO-neutral patterns, and recent observations show no departures from baseline due to stable atmospheric moisture levels. Traders assign only modest odds to 33–34°C because model consensus shows limited potential for localized warming, while lower thresholds remain unlikely absent unexpected cloud buildup. The next BMKG daily forecast update will offer final resolution inputs before the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 72%
33°C 17%
34°C 7.8%
31°C 5.5%
$26,172 Vol.
$26,172 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
72%
33°C
17%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 72%
33°C 17%
34°C 7.8%
31°C 5.5%
$26,172 Vol.
$26,172 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
72%
33°C
17%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHCurrent forecast models from global ensembles and Indonesia's BMKG indicate a maximum temperature of 32°C in Jakarta on May 17, underpinning the market's dominant 71% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early dry-season conditions near the equator, where clear skies and steady trade winds allow peak diurnal heating around midday without significant convective suppression. Historical May averages range 31–33°C under ENSO-neutral patterns, and recent observations show no departures from baseline due to stable atmospheric moisture levels. Traders assign only modest odds to 33–34°C because model consensus shows limited potential for localized warming, while lower thresholds remain unlikely absent unexpected cloud buildup. The next BMKG daily forecast update will offer final resolution inputs before the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা