Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for Gimhae International Airport station, the market resolution point, point to a daytime high around 28°C on May 16 under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and warm southerly flow, driving trader consensus toward 28–29°C outcomes. Recent unseasonal heat across southeastern Korea, with above-average temperatures persisting through May 14–15 amid minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability (under 20%), has elevated implied probabilities for these warmer buckets, though sea breezes and potential afternoon humidity buildup introduce uncertainty differentiating exact integer peaks. Model ensembles show slight spread in peak heating timing between 2–5 p.m. KST, with final hourly guidance expected later today potentially tipping the balance. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 24°C, underscoring the atypical warmth.