Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s May 17 high near 28–29 °C under a high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating. This setup favors the market’s two leading outcomes—29 °C at 38 % implied probability and 28 °C at 30.5 %—while the 23 % chance assigned to 30 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Minor differences among these integers hinge on exact cloud timing and low-level wind strength, factors that can shift the official Otemachi reading by 1 °C. With resolution occurring after tomorrow’s observation, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against historical May variability around 23–25 °C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C 10%
$36,843 Vol.
$36,843 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C or higher
24%
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C 10%
$36,843 Vol.
$36,843 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s May 17 high near 28–29 °C under a high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating. This setup favors the market’s two leading outcomes—29 °C at 38 % implied probability and 28 °C at 30.5 %—while the 23 % chance assigned to 30 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Minor differences among these integers hinge on exact cloud timing and low-level wind strength, factors that can shift the official Otemachi reading by 1 °C. With resolution occurring after tomorrow’s observation, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against historical May variability around 23–25 °C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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