National Weather Service Chicago's latest forecast guidance projects a high temperature well above 56°F—likely in the low to mid-60s—for May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, reflecting strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that have shown minimal spread over the past 24 hours. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest suppressing cool air intrusions, consistent with May climatological normals of 70.6°F highs at O'Hare International Airport. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 56°F or higher underscores this low-uncertainty outlook, backed by observational upper-air data indicating stable synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northward surge of cooler Canadian air or overnight convective debris increasing cloud cover, though probabilities remain below 1% per current guidance; monitor the 00z model runs tonight for final confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 99.9%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$19,664 Vol.
$19,664 Vol.
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.9%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$19,664 Vol.
$19,664 Vol.
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service Chicago's latest forecast guidance projects a high temperature well above 56°F—likely in the low to mid-60s—for May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, reflecting strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that have shown minimal spread over the past 24 hours. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest suppressing cool air intrusions, consistent with May climatological normals of 70.6°F highs at O'Hare International Airport. Trader consensus at 99.9% on 56°F or higher underscores this low-uncertainty outlook, backed by observational upper-air data indicating stable synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northward surge of cooler Canadian air or overnight convective debris increasing cloud cover, though probabilities remain below 1% per current guidance; monitor the 00z model runs tonight for final confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা