Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C nocturnal low in Shanghai on May 16, driven by converging short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, alongside China Meteorological Administration projections showing a minimum around 19-20°C under mostly sunny skies. AccuWeather's latest 10-day outlook specifies a 19°C low with highs near 28°C, reflecting a stable warm air mass and minimal cloud cover promoting radiative cooling without excessive chill. Recent observations, including May 15's forecasted 20°C low amid clear conditions, align with mid-May climatology where urban heat island effects typically floor overnight minima at 17-21°C. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine this, but current agreement underscores low risk of deviation below 18°C barring unexpected cold advection.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
19°C 86%
18°C 15%
17°C 2.6%
14°C or below <1%
$21,859 Vol.
$21,859 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
86%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 86%
18°C 15%
17°C 2.6%
14°C or below <1%
$21,859 Vol.
$21,859 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
86%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDTrader consensus heavily favors a 19°C nocturnal low in Shanghai on May 16, driven by converging short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, alongside China Meteorological Administration projections showing a minimum around 19-20°C under mostly sunny skies. AccuWeather's latest 10-day outlook specifies a 19°C low with highs near 28°C, reflecting a stable warm air mass and minimal cloud cover promoting radiative cooling without excessive chill. Recent observations, including May 15's forecasted 20°C low amid clear conditions, align with mid-May climatology where urban heat island effects typically floor overnight minima at 17-21°C. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine this, but current agreement underscores low risk of deviation below 18°C barring unexpected cold advection.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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